2.1
Deregulation
It is widely recognized that electricity underpins economic
growth, and hence is vitally important to the development and welfare of
nations. Because of its versatility, convenience, and relative ease of
transport, it makes possible many of the goods and services that we associate
with modern life.
Unsurprisingly, developed nations typically have very high
levels of electrification, and over the last hundred years electricity has
gradually replaced other forms of energy to operate industrial and commercial
processes, as well as becoming increasingly predominant in the household
sector. From electric lights, electric motors, and microwave ovens, to
television, telephones, and computers, electricity has become a critical input
supporting a wide range of consumption, transportation and production
activities. Over the next twenty years, barring major extended economic
dislocations, energy demand worldwide is projected to grow by over 50 percent.
The growth will be unevenly distributed however, with only about 25 percent
growth in the industrialized world, and about 100 percent growth in the
developing world, with India accounting for the bulk of the increase. This
trend will be stimulated by the dynamics of current technological development
(which includes semiconductors, telecommunications and information
technologies). Going back as far as Thomas Edison, early industry leaders and
politicians alike shared the view that electricity could be most efficiently
supplied by vertically-integrated monopolies. In the United States, these were
largely privately owned and operated, with the government playing a role as
regulator. In many other nations around the globe, the state assumed the
primary responsibility for the development and operation of the electricity
infrastructure. There were a number of historical and practical reasons for
this, chief among them being the ability of the state to raise the capital
required, and the widespread view that such a strategic asset must be under the
control of central government. Economies of scale could be achieved by building
larger and larger generation plants, in tandem with transmission and
distribution networks that gradually extended to even the most remote
consumers. Further economies were achieved through additional vertical
integration into the upstream energy resources sector especially oil, coal and
gas.
2.2
Supply and Demand
Growth
in demand for electricity is outstripping demand for other types of energy in
India, as the region becomes increasingly electrified and per capita
consumption rises. This trend is particularly marked in the developing
economies. How this rapid growth in electricity demand will be satisfied is
possibly one of the most critical issues facing the region over the medium term.
The Indian Energy Research Center has projected that electricity consumption in
India Energy economies will grow by 65 percent between 1995 and 2010 (an annual
growth rate of 3.4 percent).
2.3
Generation Mix
The
primary energy sources used to generate electricity differ significantly among
the various APEC economies, although there are common themes. The current mix
of energy sources includes thermal (almost totally fossil fuel powered),
nuclear, hydroelectric and geothermal, with wind and solar gaining some ground
at the margins. Total electricity generation fuel requirements by energy source
are shown in Figure.
Fig 2.2 Total Energy Consumption in India |
2.4
Electricity Pricing
Different pricing practices in the electricity sector have
been developed in accordance with changing industry structure. While natural
monopolies are compatible with a usual cost-of-service pricing practice,
deregulated markets require more complex pricing mechanisms. Since the extent
to which markets are deregulated and unbundled could be different in each
economy, the pricing mechanism may also differ.
It is common practice in deregulated markets to allow
generation prices to be set by supply and demand, while governments or regulators
control transmission and distribution prices. So price regulation with respect
to networks still retains some importance in the presence of fully deregulated
markets. The price cap may well over- or under-shoot with respect to the
optimal price level. This will create equity concerns between electricity
suppliers and end-users.
State-based
monopoly electricity markets, with regulated or mechanistically administered
electricity prices, still remain, particularly in developing economies. Price
controls are established in Japan, Korea, the Philippines, Russia and Chinese
Taipei, although in some cases these are being phased out. Administered prices
are prevalent in China, Indonesia and Vietnam, and are used to assist with
wider energy policy objectives.
Transparency is an important issue in pricing practices
especially in the case of a natural monopoly. As all costs incurred in the fuel
chain from generation to distribution can be passed on to end-use consumers, it
is important to maintain transparency in price determination processes to the
extent possible. Otherwise consumers have to bear unnecessary costs, even from
mistakes in economic decision-making, for example, with respect to investment
in assets, their operation and maintenance.
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